Single poll
Forsa poll of 12 September 2025 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- Süddeutsche Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 10 Sep 2025
- Respondents
- 1,012
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Forsa has CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,012 people were surveyed from 1 to 10 Sep 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Süddeutsche Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 8 Aug 2024, CSU loses 6.0 points, AfD gains 6.0 points, Grüne gains 4.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CSU 4.0 points lower and Linke 4.0 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Sep 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CSU -4.0average 41.0
- Linke +4.0average 1.0
- Grüne +2.0average 13.0
- AfD -1.0average 20.0
- Freie Wähler +1.0average 9.0
- FDP +1.0average 1.0
- BSW -1.0average 2.0
- SPD ±0average 8.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU71
- AfD36
- Grüne29
- Freie Wähler19
- SPD15
- Linke10
- CSU + AfD107 of 180
- CSU + Grüne100 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler + SPD105 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler + Linke100 of 180
- CSU + SPD + Linke96 of 180
More
More polls
← Forsa, 8 Aug 2024Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.