Forsa poll of 3 May 2023 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- Süddeutsche Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 28 Apr 2023
- Respondents
- 1,009
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CSU41.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%-1.0
- SPD10.0%±0
- AfD10.0%+1.0
- Freie Wähler10.0%±0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- Linke2.0%
- Others8.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 17 Feb 2023.
In this poll Forsa has CSU ahead on 41.0%, followed by Grüne on 15.0%. 1,009 people were surveyed from 20 to 28 Apr 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Süddeutsche Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 17 Feb 2023, CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 3 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.9average 16.9
- SPD +0.7average 9.3
- AfD -0.7average 10.7
- CSU +0.6average 40.4
- Freie Wähler -0.4average 10.4
- FDP -0.4average 4.4
- Linke ±0average 2.0
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU86
- Grüne31
- SPD21
- AfD21
- Freie Wähler21
- CSU + Grüne117 of 180
- CSU + SPD107 of 180
- CSU + AfD107 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler107 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.