Forsa poll of 17 February 2023 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- Forsa
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 16 Feb 2023
- Respondents
- 1,022
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CSU42.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.0%-2.0
- SPD10.0%±0
- Freie Wähler10.0%-1.0
- AfD9.0%+1.0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others10.0%+3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Oct 2022.
In this poll Forsa has CSU ahead on 42.0%, followed by Grüne on 16.0%. 1,022 people were surveyed from 8 to 16 Feb 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by Forsa.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Oct 2022, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CSU gains 1.0 points, Freie Wähler loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.9average 17.9
- CSU +1.2average 40.8
- FDP -1.2average 4.2
- SPD +1.0average 9.0
- AfD -1.0average 10.0
- Freie Wähler -0.4average 10.4
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU86
- Grüne33
- SPD21
- Freie Wähler21
- AfD19
- CSU + Grüne119 of 180
- CSU + SPD107 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler107 of 180
- CSU + AfD105 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.