Forsa poll of 28 October 2022 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- CSU
- Fieldwork period
- 17 to 25 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,083
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CSU41.0%+1.0
- Grüne18.0%-2.0
- Freie Wähler11.0%+1.0
- SPD10.0%+1.0
- AfD8.0%+1.0
- FDP3.0%-3.0
- Linke2.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 Jun 2022.
In this poll Forsa has CSU ahead on 41.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,083 people were surveyed from 17 to 25 Oct 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by CSU.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 Jun 2022, FDP loses 3.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CSU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has AfD 2.2 points lower and FDP 2.2 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.2average 10.2
- FDP -2.2average 5.2
- CSU +2.0average 39.0
- Grüne -1.8average 19.8
- Freie Wähler +1.4average 9.6
- SPD +1.2average 8.8
- Linke ±0average 2.0
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU84
- Grüne37
- Freie Wähler23
- SPD20
- AfD16
- CSU + Grüne121 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler107 of 180
- CSU + SPD104 of 180
- CSU + AfD100 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.