Forsa poll of 10 June 2022 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 23 May 2022 to 3 Jun 2022
- Respondents
- 1,049
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CSU40.0%+1.0
- Grüne20.0%±0
- Freie Wähler10.0%-1.0
- SPD9.0%-1.0
- AfD7.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Linke1.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 May 2022.
In this poll Forsa has CSU ahead on 40.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,049 people were surveyed from 23 May 2022 to 3 Jun 2022, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 24 May 2022, CSU gains 1.0 points, Freie Wähler loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 5.3 points lower and Grüne 4.3 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -5.3average 14.3
- Grüne +4.3average 15.7
- Freie Wähler +2.3average 7.7
- CSU +2.0average 38.0
- AfD -1.7average 8.7
- Linke -1.5average 2.5
- FDP -1.0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU78
- Grüne39
- Freie Wähler19
- SPD18
- AfD14
- FDP12
- CSU + Grüne117 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler97 of 180
- CSU + SPD96 of 180
- CSU + AfD92 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.