Forsa poll of 24 May 2022 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- Verlag Nürnberger Presse
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Apr 2022 to 13 May 2022
- Respondents
- 1,235
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CSU39.0%+1.0
- Grüne20.0%-2.0
- Freie Wähler11.0%+2.0
- SPD10.0%+3.0
- AfD6.0%-3.0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Linke2.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 19 May 2021.
In this poll Forsa has CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,235 people were surveyed from 27 Apr 2022 to 13 May 2022, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Verlag Nürnberger Presse.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 19 May 2021, SPD gains 3.0 points, AfD loses 3.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has Grüne 4.3 points higher and SPD 4.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 24 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +4.3average 15.7
- SPD -4.3average 14.3
- Freie Wähler +3.3average 7.7
- AfD -2.7average 8.7
- FDP -2.0average 7.0
- CSU +1.0average 38.0
- Linke -0.5average 2.5
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU77
- Grüne39
- Freie Wähler22
- SPD20
- AfD12
- FDP10
- CSU + Grüne116 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler99 of 180
- CSU + SPD97 of 180
- CSU + AfD + FDP99 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.