Single poll
Forsa poll of 19 May 2021 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 17 May 2021
- Respondents
- 1,016
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Forsa has CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,016 people were surveyed from 10 to 17 May 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 28 Jan 2019, Freie Wähler loses 3.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CSU 3.3 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 19 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CSU -3.3average 41.3
- Grüne +1.0average 21.0
- SPD -1.0average 8.0
- AfD +0.7average 8.3
- FDP +0.7average 5.3
- Freie Wähler +0.3average 8.7
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU75
- Grüne43
- AfD18
- Freie Wähler18
- SPD14
- FDP12
- CSU + Grüne118 of 180
- CSU + AfD93 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler93 of 180
- CSU + SPD + FDP101 of 180
More
More polls
← Forsa, 28 Jan 2019Forsa, 24 May 2022 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2021
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.