Single poll
Forsa poll of 28 January 2019 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 25 Jan 2019
- Respondents
- 1,003
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Forsa has CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,003 people were surveyed from 22 to 25 Jan 2019, method Telefonisch, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 13 Aug 2018, Grüne gains 6.0 points, SPD loses 6.0 points, AfD loses 5.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has SPD 4.2 points lower and Grüne 4.1 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Jan 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -4.2average 10.2
- Grüne +4.1average 18.9
- CSU +3.4average 34.6
- AfD -3.0average 11.0
- Freie Wähler +1.0average 11.0
- Linke -0.9average 3.9
- FDP -0.6average 5.6
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU74
- Grüne45
- Freie Wähler23
- AfD16
- SPD12
- FDP10
- CSU + Grüne119 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler97 of 180
- CSU + AfD + SPD102 of 180
- CSU + AfD + FDP100 of 180
- CSU + SPD + FDP96 of 180
More
More polls
← Forsa, 13 Aug 2018Forsa, 19 May 2021 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2019
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.