Forsa poll of 13 August 2018 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 25 Jul 2018 to 9 Aug 2018
- Respondents
- 1,105
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CSU37.0%-1.0
- Grüne17.0%+2.0
- AfD13.0%-1.0
- SPD12.0%±0
- Freie Wähler8.0%±0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%+1.0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Jul 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 1,105 people were surveyed from 25 Jul 2018 to 9 Aug 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 9 Jul 2018, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CSU 3.1 points lower and Grüne 2.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Aug 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CSU -3.1average 40.1
- Grüne +2.9average 14.1
- SPD -0.9average 12.9
- Linke +0.8average 3.2
- Freie Wähler +0.7average 7.3
- FDP -0.3average 5.3
- AfD ±0average 13.0
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU72
- Grüne33
- AfD25
- SPD24
- Freie Wähler16
- FDP10
- CSU + Grüne105 of 180
- CSU + AfD97 of 180
- CSU + SPD96 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler + FDP98 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.