Forsa poll of 25 June 2018 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 22 Jun 2018
- Respondents
- 1,033
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CSU40.0%-2.0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- SPD13.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%+3.0
- Freie Wähler8.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Feb 2018.
In this poll Forsa has CSU ahead on 40.0%, followed by Grüne on 14.0%. 1,033 people were surveyed from 21 to 22 Jun 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 25 Feb 2018, AfD gains 3.0 points, CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CSU 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jun 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CSU -1.5average 41.5
- Freie Wähler +1.2average 6.8
- Grüne +1.1average 12.9
- FDP -0.7average 5.7
- SPD +0.1average 12.9
- AfD +0.1average 12.9
- Linke +0.1average 2.9
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU77
- Grüne27
- SPD25
- AfD25
- Freie Wähler16
- FDP10
- CSU + Grüne104 of 180
- CSU + SPD102 of 180
- CSU + AfD102 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler93 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.