Forsa poll of 25 February 2018 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- RTL / n-tv
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 22 Feb 2018
- Respondents
- 1,027
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CSU42.0%+4.0
- SPD14.0%-3.0
- Grüne14.0%+3.0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- Freie Wähler7.0%±0
- FDP6.0%-3.0
- Linke3.0%-1.0
- Others4.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 Nov 2017.
In this poll Forsa has CSU ahead on 42.0%, followed by SPD on 14.0%. 1,027 people were surveyed from 8 to 22 Feb 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.
Compared with the previous Forsa poll of 10 Nov 2017, CSU gains 4.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CSU 2.0 points higher and Grüne 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Feb 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CSU +2.0average 40.0
- Grüne +1.9average 12.1
- AfD -1.8average 11.8
- SPD -1.2average 15.2
- Linke -0.4average 3.4
- Freie Wähler +0.1average 6.9
- FDP ±0average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU81
- SPD27
- Grüne27
- AfD19
- Freie Wähler14
- FDP12
- CSU + SPD108 of 180
- CSU + Grüne108 of 180
- CSU + AfD100 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler95 of 180
- CSU + FDP93 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.