Single poll

Forsa poll of 10 November 2017 for the Bavarian state election

Commissioned by
RTL / n-tv
Fieldwork period
6 to 9 Nov 2017
Respondents
1,017
Method
Unbekannt
  • CSU38.0%
  • SPD17.0%
  • Grüne11.0%
  • AfD11.0%
  • FDP9.0%
  • Freie Wähler7.0%
  • Linke4.0%
  • Others3.0%

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%.

In this poll Forsa has CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,017 people were surveyed from 6 to 9 Nov 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by RTL / n-tv.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Forsa has CSU 1.6 points lower and SPD 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Nov 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CSU -1.6average 39.6
  • SPD +1.6average 15.4
  • FDP +1.6average 7.4
  • AfD -1.4average 12.4
  • Linke +0.5average 3.5
  • Grüne -0.1average 11.1
  • Freie Wähler ±0average 7.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CSU: 74 seatsSPD: 33 seatsGrüne: 21 seatsAfD: 21 seatsFDP: 17 seatsFreie Wähler: 14 seatsMajority from 91180of 180 seats
  • CSU74
  • SPD33
  • Grüne21
  • AfD21
  • FDP17
  • Freie Wähler14
  • CSU + SPD107 of 180
  • CSU + Grüne95 of 180
  • CSU + AfD95 of 180
  • CSU + FDP91 of 180
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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