Civey poll of 19 April 2026 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 17 Apr 2026
- Respondents
- 5,000
- Method
- Online
- CSU38.0%-1.0
- AfD19.0%+2.0
- Grüne13.0%+1.0
- Freie Wähler11.0%±0
- SPD7.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- BSW3.0%±0
- FDP2.0%±0
- Others4.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 14 Mar 2026.
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 5,000 people were surveyed from 3 to 17 Apr 2026, method Online, commissioned by Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 14 Mar 2026, AfD gains 2.0 points, CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Freie Wähler 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Apr 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Freie Wähler +1.5average 9.5
- CSU -1.0average 39.0
- BSW +1.0average 2.0
- AfD +0.5average 18.5
- SPD -0.5average 7.5
- Grüne ±0average 13.0
- Linke ±0average 3.0
- FDP ±0average 2.0
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU78
- AfD39
- Grüne27
- Freie Wähler22
- SPD14
- CSU + AfD117 of 180
- CSU + Grüne105 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler100 of 180
- CSU + SPD92 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.