Single poll
Civey poll of 14 February 2026 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Jan 2026 to 12 Feb 2026
- Respondents
- 5,000
- Method
- Online
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 40.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 5,000 people were surveyed from 29 Jan 2026 to 12 Feb 2026, method Online, commissioned by Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 19 Jan 2026, Freie Wähler gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Freie Wähler 1.5 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Feb 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Freie Wähler +1.5average 10.5
- CSU +1.0average 39.0
- AfD -1.0average 19.0
- Grüne -1.0average 12.0
- BSW -1.0average 2.0
- SPD ±0average 7.0
- Linke ±0average 3.0
- FDP ±0average 2.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU82
- AfD37
- Freie Wähler25
- Grüne22
- SPD14
- CSU + AfD119 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler107 of 180
- CSU + Grüne104 of 180
- CSU + SPD96 of 180
More
More polls
← Civey, 19 Jan 2026Civey, 14 Mar 2026 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2026
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.