Single poll
Civey poll of 15 March 2025 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Feb 2025 to 14 Mar 2025
- Respondents
- 5,006
- Method
- Online
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 41.0%, followed by AfD on 15.0%. 5,006 people were surveyed from 28 Feb 2025 to 14 Mar 2025, method Online, commissioned by Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 17 Feb 2025, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Freie Wähler loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Grüne 2.2 points higher and BSW 1.5 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Mar 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.2average 10.8
- BSW -1.5average 5.5
- CSU -1.3average 42.3
- Linke +1.0average 1.0
- AfD +0.7average 14.3
- Freie Wähler -0.3average 11.3
- SPD +0.3average 7.7
- FDP ±0average 2.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU84
- AfD31
- Grüne27
- Freie Wähler22
- SPD16
- CSU + AfD115 of 180
- CSU + Grüne111 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler106 of 180
- CSU + SPD100 of 180
More
More polls
← Civey, 17 Feb 2025Civey, 12 Apr 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.