Single poll
Civey poll of 17 February 2025 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Jan 2025 to 13 Feb 2025
- Respondents
- 5,007
- Method
- Online
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 41.0%, followed by Grüne on 14.0%. 5,007 people were surveyed from 30 Jan 2025 to 13 Feb 2025, method Online, commissioned by Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 22 Jan 2025, CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Grüne 3.2 points higher and BSW 1.5 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Feb 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.2average 10.8
- BSW -1.5average 5.5
- CSU -1.3average 42.3
- FDP -1.0average 2.0
- Freie Wähler +0.7average 11.3
- AfD -0.3average 14.3
- SPD +0.3average 7.7
- Linke ±0average 1.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU83
- Grüne29
- AfD28
- Freie Wähler24
- SPD16
- CSU + Grüne112 of 180
- CSU + AfD111 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler107 of 180
- CSU + SPD99 of 180
More
More polls
← Civey, 22 Jan 2025Civey, 15 Mar 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.