Single poll
Civey poll of 22 January 2025 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 17 Jan 2025
- Respondents
- 5,011
- Method
- Online
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 43.0%, followed by Grüne on 14.0%. 5,011 people were surveyed from 3 to 17 Jan 2025, method Online, commissioned by Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 14 Dec 2024, Grüne gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points, CSU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Grüne 3.2 points higher and BSW 2.5 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Jan 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.2average 10.8
- BSW -2.5average 5.5
- FDP -1.0average 2.0
- CSU +0.7average 42.3
- Freie Wähler +0.7average 11.3
- SPD -0.7average 7.7
- AfD -0.3average 14.3
- Linke ±0average 1.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU86
- Grüne28
- AfD28
- Freie Wähler24
- SPD14
- CSU + Grüne114 of 180
- CSU + AfD114 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler110 of 180
- CSU + SPD100 of 180
More
More polls
← Civey, 14 Dec 2024Civey, 17 Feb 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.