Single poll
Civey poll of 14 December 2024 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Nov 2024 to 12 Dec 2024
- Respondents
- 5,001
- Method
- Online
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 42.0%, followed by AfD on 14.0%. 5,001 people were surveyed from 28 Nov 2024 to 12 Dec 2024, method Online, commissioned by Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 16 Nov 2024, CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Grüne 1.7 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Dec 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.7average 10.3
- BSW -1.0average 5.0
- FDP +1.0average 2.0
- CSU -0.7average 42.7
- Freie Wähler +0.7average 11.3
- SPD -0.7average 7.7
- AfD -0.3average 14.3
- Linke ±0average 1.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU87
- AfD29
- Grüne25
- Freie Wähler25
- SPD14
- CSU + AfD116 of 180
- CSU + Grüne112 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler112 of 180
- CSU + SPD101 of 180
More
More polls
← Civey, 16 Nov 2024Civey, 22 Jan 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.