Single poll
Civey poll of 18 November 2023 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 17 Nov 2023
- Respondents
- 5,001
- Method
- Online
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 40.0%, followed by Grüne on 14.0%. 5,001 people were surveyed from 10 to 17 Nov 2023, method Online, commissioned by Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 2 Oct 2023, CSU gains 3.0 points, Freie Wähler loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CSU 3.1 points higher and Freie Wähler 2.3 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Nov 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CSU +3.1average 36.9
- Freie Wähler -2.3average 15.3
- Grüne -0.9average 14.9
- AfD -0.8average 13.8
- FDP -0.5average 3.5
- Linke +0.5average 1.5
- SPD +0.2average 8.8
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU81
- Grüne29
- AfD26
- Freie Wähler26
- SPD18
- CSU + Grüne110 of 180
- CSU + AfD107 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler107 of 180
- CSU + SPD99 of 180
More
More polls
← Civey, 2 Oct 2023Civey, 16 Mar 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2023
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.