Single poll
Civey poll of 2 October 2023 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- Spiegel Online / Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 24 Sep 2023 to 1 Oct 2023
- Respondents
- 5,001
- Method
- Online
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 15.0%. 5,001 people were surveyed from 24 Sep 2023 to 1 Oct 2023, method Online, commissioned by Spiegel Online / Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 21 Sep 2023, CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Freie Wähler gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Oct 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Freie Wähler -0.8average 15.8
- Linke -0.5average 1.5
- Grüne +0.3average 14.7
- FDP +0.3average 3.7
- CSU +0.2average 36.8
- AfD +0.2average 13.8
- SPD +0.1average 8.9
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU74
- Grüne30
- Freie Wähler30
- AfD28
- SPD18
- CSU + Grüne104 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler104 of 180
- CSU + AfD102 of 180
- CSU + SPD92 of 180
More
More polls
← Civey, 21 Sep 2023Civey, 18 Nov 2023 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2023
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.