Single poll
Civey poll of 7 September 2023 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- Spiegel Online / Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Aug 2023 to 6 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 5,003
- Method
- Online
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 5,003 people were surveyed from 30 Aug 2023 to 6 Sep 2023, method Online, commissioned by Spiegel Online / Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 24 Aug 2023, AfD gains 4.0 points, CSU loses 2.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has AfD 3.4 points higher and CSU 2.8 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +3.4average 13.6
- CSU -2.8average 38.8
- Freie Wähler -2.5average 14.5
- SPD +1.3average 8.7
- Grüne +0.9average 14.1
- Linke -0.5average 1.5
- FDP +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU72
- AfD34
- Grüne30
- Freie Wähler24
- SPD20
- CSU + AfD106 of 180
- CSU + Grüne102 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler96 of 180
- CSU + SPD92 of 180
More
More polls
← Civey, 24 Aug 2023Civey, 21 Sep 2023 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2023
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.