Single poll
Civey poll of 24 August 2023 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- Spiegel Online / Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 23 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 5,502
- Method
- Online
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 15.0%. 5,502 people were surveyed from 9 to 23 Aug 2023, method Online, commissioned by Spiegel Online / Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 10 Aug 2023, CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.2average 14.2
- Grüne +0.7average 14.3
- Freie Wähler -0.5average 12.5
- CSU -0.4average 38.4
- SPD -0.2average 10.2
- FDP ±0average 4.0
- Linke ±0average 2.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU78
- Grüne31
- AfD27
- Freie Wähler24
- SPD20
- CSU + Grüne109 of 180
- CSU + AfD105 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler102 of 180
- CSU + SPD98 of 180
More
More polls
← Civey, 10 Aug 2023Civey, 7 Sep 2023 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2023
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.