Single poll
Civey poll of 10 August 2023 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 26 Jul 2023 to 9 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 5,502
- Method
- Online
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by Grüne on 16.0%. 5,502 people were surveyed from 26 Jul 2023 to 9 Aug 2023, method Online, commissioned by Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 15 Jul 2023, CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has AfD 1.9 points lower and Grüne 1.5 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.9average 13.9
- Grüne +1.5average 14.5
- SPD +1.0average 10.0
- Freie Wähler -0.9average 11.9
- Linke -0.1average 2.1
- CSU ±0average 39.0
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU79
- Grüne33
- AfD24
- SPD22
- Freie Wähler22
- CSU + Grüne112 of 180
- CSU + AfD103 of 180
- CSU + SPD101 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler101 of 180
More
More polls
← Civey, 15 Jul 2023Civey, 24 Aug 2023 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2023
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.