Civey poll of 17 June 2023 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 16 Jun 2023
- Respondents
- 5,501
- Method
- Online
- CSU40.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.0%-2.0
- SPD11.0%+2.0
- Freie Wähler11.0%-1.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Linke2.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 18 Feb 2023.
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 40.0%, followed by Grüne on 16.0%. 5,501 people were surveyed from 2 to 16 Jun 2023, method Online, commissioned by Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 18 Feb 2023, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, CSU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has AfD 1.6 points lower and Grüne 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.6average 11.6
- Grüne +1.5average 14.5
- SPD +0.6average 10.4
- FDP -0.6average 4.6
- CSU -0.4average 40.4
- Freie Wähler -0.2average 11.2
- Linke +0.1average 1.9
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU82
- Grüne33
- SPD23
- Freie Wähler22
- AfD20
- CSU + Grüne115 of 180
- CSU + SPD105 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler104 of 180
- CSU + AfD102 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.