Single poll
Civey poll of 18 February 2023 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 16 Feb 2023
- Respondents
- 5,503
- Method
- Online
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 39.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 5,503 people were surveyed from 2 to 16 Feb 2023, method Online, commissioned by Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 14 Jan 2023, CSU loses 3.0 points, Freie Wähler gains 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CSU 1.8 points lower and Freie Wähler 1.6 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CSU -1.8average 40.8
- Freie Wähler +1.6average 10.4
- Grüne +0.3average 17.7
- SPD -0.2average 9.2
- Linke +0.2average 1.8
- AfD ±0average 10.0
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU80
- Grüne37
- Freie Wähler25
- AfD20
- SPD18
- CSU + Grüne117 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler105 of 180
- CSU + AfD100 of 180
- CSU + SPD98 of 180
More
More polls
← Civey, 14 Jan 2023Civey, 17 Jun 2023 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2023
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.