Single poll
Civey poll of 14 January 2023 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Dec 2022 to 12 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 5,499
- Method
- Online
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 42.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 5,499 people were surveyed from 29 Dec 2022 to 12 Jan 2023, method Online, commissioned by Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 21 Nov 2022, CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has AfD 1.6 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.6average 10.6
- CSU +1.4average 40.6
- Linke +1.2average 1.8
- Grüne -1.1average 18.1
- Freie Wähler -0.3average 10.3
- SPD ±0average 9.0
- FDP ±0average 4.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU86
- Grüne35
- Freie Wähler21
- SPD19
- AfD19
- CSU + Grüne121 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler107 of 180
- CSU + SPD105 of 180
- CSU + AfD105 of 180
More
More polls
← Civey, 21 Nov 2022Civey, 18 Feb 2023 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2023
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.