Civey poll of 6 April 2020 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 15 Mar 2020 to 5 Apr 2020
- Respondents
- 4,535
- Method
- Online
- CSU44.1%+7.7
- Grüne19.6%-1.2
- SPD9.3%-1.0
- AfD8.6%+0.3
- Freie Wähler8.1%-1.6
- Linke3.2%-0.1
- FDP3.1%-2.7
- Others4.0%-1.4
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 27 Apr 2019.
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 44.1%, followed by Grüne on 19.6%. 4,535 people were surveyed from 15 Mar 2020 to 5 Apr 2020, method Online, commissioned by Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 27 Apr 2019, CSU gains 7.7 points, FDP loses 2.7 points, Freie Wähler loses 1.6 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CSU 7.1 points higher and Grüne 2.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Apr 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CSU +7.1average 37.0
- Grüne -2.9average 22.5
- Freie Wähler -2.4average 10.5
- AfD -1.9average 10.5
- SPD +1.3average 8.0
- FDP -0.4average 3.5
- Linke -0.3average 3.5
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU89
- Grüne39
- SPD19
- AfD17
- Freie Wähler16
- CSU + Grüne128 of 180
- CSU + SPD108 of 180
- CSU + AfD106 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler105 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.