Single poll
Civey poll of 16 July 2022 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 15 Jul 2022
- Respondents
- 5,505
- Method
- Online
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 5,505 people were surveyed from 1 to 15 Jul 2022, method Online, commissioned by Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 6 Apr 2020, CSU loses 6.1 points, Grüne gains 2.4 points, Freie Wähler gains 1.9 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Grüne 2.5 points higher and CSU 1.8 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Jul 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.5average 19.5
- CSU -1.8average 39.8
- SPD -1.0average 10.0
- AfD +0.7average 7.3
- FDP -0.7average 5.7
- Linke +0.7average 1.3
- Freie Wähler +0.3average 9.7
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU74
- Grüne43
- Freie Wähler19
- SPD18
- AfD16
- FDP10
- CSU + Grüne117 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler93 of 180
- CSU + SPD92 of 180
- CSU + AfD + FDP100 of 180
More
More polls
← Civey, 6 Apr 2020Civey, 21 Nov 2022 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2022
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.