Civey poll of 27 April 2019 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Mar 2019 to 26 Apr 2019
- Respondents
- 5,016
- Method
- Online
- CSU36.4%-1.7
- Grüne20.8%+0.5
- SPD10.3%+0.8
- Freie Wähler9.7%-0.4
- AfD8.3%±0
- FDP5.8%+0.4
- Linke3.3%+0.1
- Others5.4%+0.3
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 30 Mar 2019.
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 36.4%, followed by Grüne on 20.8%. 5,016 people were surveyed from 29 Mar 2019 to 26 Apr 2019, method Online, commissioned by Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 30 Mar 2019, CSU loses 1.7 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Freie Wähler 1.7 points lower and AfD 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Apr 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Freie Wähler -1.7average 11.4
- AfD -1.7average 10.0
- SPD +1.1average 9.2
- Grüne +1.0average 19.8
- CSU +0.8average 35.6
- FDP +0.4average 5.4
- Linke -0.4average 3.7
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU72
- Grüne41
- SPD20
- Freie Wähler19
- AfD16
- FDP12
- CSU + Grüne113 of 180
- CSU + SPD92 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler91 of 180
- CSU + AfD + FDP100 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.