Single poll
Civey poll of 30 March 2019 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 29 Mar 2019
- Respondents
- 4,515
- Method
- Online
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 38.1%, followed by Grüne on 20.3%. 4,515 people were surveyed from 1 to 29 Mar 2019, method Online, commissioned by Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 11 Oct 2018, CSU gains 5.2 points, AfD loses 4.5 points, Grüne gains 1.8 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CSU 2.5 points higher and AfD 1.7 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CSU +2.5average 35.6
- AfD -1.7average 10.0
- Freie Wähler -1.3average 11.4
- Grüne +0.5average 19.8
- Linke -0.5average 3.7
- SPD +0.3average 9.2
- FDP ±0average 5.4
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU74
- Grüne40
- Freie Wähler20
- SPD19
- AfD16
- FDP11
- CSU + Grüne114 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler94 of 180
- CSU + SPD93 of 180
- CSU + AfD + FDP101 of 180
More
More polls
← Civey, 11 Oct 2018Civey, 27 Apr 2019 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2019
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.