Single poll
Civey poll of 10 September 2018 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- Spiegel Online / Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Aug 2018 to 9 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 5,046
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 35.8%, followed by Grüne on 16.5%. 5,046 people were surveyed from 30 Aug 2018 to 9 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Spiegel Online / Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 27 Aug 2018, CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.4 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CSU 1.7 points lower.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CSU -1.7average 37.5
- Grüne +1.0average 15.5
- Linke -0.8average 3.5
- AfD +0.7average 13.0
- SPD -0.4average 12.5
- FDP +0.3average 5.5
- Freie Wähler -0.2average 8.3
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU70
- Grüne32
- AfD27
- SPD24
- Freie Wähler16
- FDP11
- CSU + Grüne102 of 180
- CSU + AfD97 of 180
- CSU + SPD94 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler + FDP97 of 180
More
More polls
← Civey, 27 Aug 2018Civey, 24 Sep 2018 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2018
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.