Single poll
Civey poll of 14 August 2018 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Jul 2018 to 13 Aug 2018
- Respondents
- 5,047
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 38.1%, followed by AfD on 15.2%. 5,047 people were surveyed from 31 Jul 2018 to 13 Aug 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 6 Jul 2018, CSU loses 4.4 points, AfD gains 2.1 points, Grüne gains 1.8 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has AfD 2.2 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Aug 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +2.2average 13.0
- Linke -0.8average 3.5
- CSU -0.7average 38.8
- Freie Wähler -0.5average 7.8
- SPD -0.2average 12.5
- Grüne ±0average 15.0
- FDP ±0average 5.3
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU74
- Grüne29
- AfD29
- SPD24
- Freie Wähler14
- FDP10
- CSU + Grüne103 of 180
- CSU + AfD103 of 180
- CSU + SPD98 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler + FDP98 of 180
More
More polls
← Civey, 6 Jul 2018Civey, 27 Aug 2018 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2018
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.