Civey poll of 6 July 2018 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- Spiegel Online / Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 24 Jun 2018 to 5 Jul 2018
- Respondents
- 5,093
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CSU42.5%+1.4
- SPD13.7%+0.3
- Grüne13.2%+0.6
- AfD13.1%-0.4
- Freie Wähler6.0%-1.0
- FDP5.2%+0.4
- Linke2.8%-0.7
- Others3.5%-0.6
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 8 Jun 2018.
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 42.5%, followed by SPD on 13.7%. 5,093 people were surveyed from 24 Jun 2018 to 5 Jul 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Spiegel Online / Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 8 Jun 2018, CSU gains 1.4 points, Freie Wähler loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CSU 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Jul 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CSU +1.5average 41.0
- Freie Wähler -1.0average 7.0
- SPD +0.9average 12.8
- Grüne -0.1average 13.3
- AfD +0.1average 13.0
- FDP -0.1average 5.3
- Linke ±0average 2.8
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU82
- SPD26
- Grüne25
- AfD25
- Freie Wähler12
- FDP10
- CSU + SPD108 of 180
- CSU + Grüne107 of 180
- CSU + AfD107 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler94 of 180
- CSU + FDP92 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.