Civey poll of 8 June 2018 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 20 May 2018 to 7 Jun 2018
- Respondents
- 5,066
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CSU41.1%-1.0
- AfD13.5%+1.5
- SPD13.4%-0.3
- Grüne12.6%-0.9
- Freie Wähler7.0%+0.4
- FDP4.8%-0.3
- Linke3.5%+0.6
- Others4.1%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 13 May 2018.
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 41.1%, followed by AfD on 13.5%. 5,066 people were surveyed from 20 May 2018 to 7 Jun 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 13 May 2018, AfD gains 1.5 points, CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has AfD 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Jun 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.5average 12.0
- FDP -1.2average 6.0
- CSU -0.7average 41.8
- Grüne -0.7average 13.3
- Linke +0.7average 2.8
- SPD +0.4average 13.0
- Freie Wähler +0.2average 6.8
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU84
- SPD28
- AfD28
- Grüne26
- Freie Wähler14
- CSU + SPD112 of 180
- CSU + AfD112 of 180
- CSU + Grüne110 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler98 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.