Single poll
Civey poll of 13 May 2018 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 24 Apr 2018 to 12 May 2018
- Respondents
- 5,082
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 42.1%, followed by SPD on 13.7%. 5,082 people were surveyed from 24 Apr 2018 to 12 May 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 6 Apr 2018, CSU loses 2.4 points, Grüne gains 2.2 points, SPD loses 1.1 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 May 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -0.9average 6.0
- Grüne +0.5average 13.0
- SPD +0.4average 13.3
- CSU -0.2average 42.3
- AfD +0.2average 11.8
- Freie Wähler +0.1average 6.5
- Linke -0.1average 3.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU81
- SPD27
- Grüne26
- AfD23
- Freie Wähler13
- FDP10
- CSU + SPD108 of 180
- CSU + Grüne107 of 180
- CSU + AfD104 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler94 of 180
- CSU + FDP91 of 180
More
More polls
← Civey, 6 Apr 2018Civey, 8 Jun 2018 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2018
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.