Civey poll of 6 April 2018 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 19 Mar 2018 to 5 Apr 2018
- Respondents
- 5,048
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CSU44.5%+3.1
- SPD14.8%+0.6
- AfD11.9%-0.2
- Grüne11.3%-0.7
- Freie Wähler6.5%-1.9
- FDP4.2%-0.4
- Linke2.8%-0.2
- Others4.0%-0.3
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 16 Mar 2018.
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 44.5%, followed by SPD on 14.8%. 5,048 people were surveyed from 19 Mar 2018 to 5 Apr 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 16 Mar 2018, CSU gains 3.1 points, Freie Wähler loses 1.9 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CSU 3.2 points higher and FDP 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Apr 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CSU +3.2average 41.3
- FDP -1.8average 6.0
- Grüne -1.5average 12.8
- AfD +0.9average 11.0
- Linke -0.5average 3.3
- Freie Wähler -0.3average 6.8
- SPD -0.2average 15.0
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU90
- SPD30
- AfD24
- Grüne23
- Freie Wähler13
- CSU + SPD120 of 180
- CSU + AfD114 of 180
- CSU + Grüne113 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler103 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.