Single poll
Civey poll of 16 March 2018 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 15 Mar 2018
- Respondents
- 5,004
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 41.4%, followed by SPD on 14.2%. 5,004 people were surveyed from 2 to 15 Mar 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 26 Feb 2018, CSU gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Freie Wähler 1.6 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Mar 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Freie Wähler +1.6average 6.8
- FDP -1.4average 6.0
- AfD +1.1average 11.0
- CSU +0.9average 40.5
- SPD -0.8average 15.0
- Grüne -0.8average 12.8
- Linke -0.3average 3.3
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU85
- SPD29
- AfD25
- Grüne24
- Freie Wähler17
- CSU + SPD114 of 180
- CSU + AfD110 of 180
- CSU + Grüne109 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler102 of 180
More
More polls
← Civey, 26 Feb 2018Civey, 6 Apr 2018 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2018
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.