Civey poll of 26 February 2018 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 26 Feb 2018
- Respondents
- 5,040
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CSU39.4%-0.5
- SPD13.4%-1.4
- AfD12.3%-0.8
- Grüne12.2%+0.8
- Freie Wähler8.6%+1.0
- FDP5.3%-0.5
- Linke3.5%+0.1
- Others5.3%+1.3
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 16 Jan 2018.
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 39.4%, followed by SPD on 13.4%. 5,040 people were surveyed from 12 to 26 Feb 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 16 Jan 2018, SPD loses 1.4 points, Freie Wähler gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Freie Wähler 1.8 points higher and SPD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Feb 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Freie Wähler +1.8average 6.8
- SPD -1.6average 15.0
- AfD +1.3average 11.0
- CSU -1.1average 40.5
- FDP -0.7average 6.0
- Grüne -0.6average 12.8
- Linke +0.2average 3.3
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU78
- SPD27
- Grüne24
- AfD24
- Freie Wähler17
- FDP10
- CSU + SPD105 of 180
- CSU + Grüne102 of 180
- CSU + AfD102 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler95 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.