Single poll
Civey poll of 16 January 2018 for the Bavarian state election
- State
- Bavaria
- Commissioned by
- Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 16 Jan 2018
- Respondents
- 5,040
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 39.9%, followed by SPD on 14.8%. 5,040 people were surveyed from 6 to 16 Jan 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 13 Dec 2017, CSU gains 3.2 points, FDP loses 1.3 points, SPD loses 1.2 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has AfD 1.8 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Jan 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.8average 11.3
- FDP -1.2average 7.0
- SPD -1.0average 15.8
- CSU +0.6average 39.3
- Freie Wähler +0.6average 7.0
- Grüne -0.4average 11.8
- Linke -0.1average 3.5
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU78
- SPD29
- AfD25
- Grüne22
- Freie Wähler15
- FDP11
- CSU + SPD107 of 180
- CSU + AfD103 of 180
- CSU + Grüne100 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler93 of 180
More
More polls
← Civey, 13 Dec 2017Civey, 26 Feb 2018 →Average of all pollsters: BavariaSunday question Bavaria2025 federal election in BavariaChronicle 2018
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.