Civey poll of 13 December 2017 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 24 Nov 2017 to 13 Dec 2017
- Respondents
- 5,019
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CSU36.7%+0.2
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD12.9%+1.1
- Grüne12.1%±0
- Freie Wähler8.3%-1.2
- FDP7.1%±0
- Linke2.9%-0.6
- Others4.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 30 Nov 2017.
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 36.7%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 5,019 people were surveyed from 24 Nov 2017 to 13 Dec 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 30 Nov 2017, Freie Wähler loses 1.2 points, AfD gains 1.1 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CSU 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Dec 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CSU -1.6average 38.3
- Freie Wähler +1.3average 7.0
- Grüne +1.1average 11.0
- FDP -0.9average 8.0
- Linke -0.8average 3.7
- AfD +0.6average 12.3
- SPD +0.3average 15.7
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU71
- SPD31
- AfD25
- Grüne23
- Freie Wähler16
- FDP14
- CSU + SPD102 of 180
- CSU + AfD96 of 180
- CSU + Grüne94 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler + FDP101 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.