Civey poll of 30 November 2017 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 30 Nov 2017
- Respondents
- 5,994
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CSU36.5%-2.3
- SPD16.0%+1.1
- Grüne12.1%+1.3
- AfD11.8%-1.7
- Freie Wähler9.5%+3.0
- FDP7.1%-0.9
- Linke3.5%-0.1
- Others3.5%-0.4
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 16 Nov 2017.
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 36.5%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 5,994 people were surveyed from 20 to 30 Nov 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 16 Nov 2017, Freie Wähler gains 3.0 points, CSU loses 2.3 points, AfD loses 1.7 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Freie Wähler 2.2 points higher and Grüne 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Nov 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Freie Wähler +2.2average 7.3
- Grüne +1.8average 10.3
- FDP -1.2average 8.3
- AfD -0.9average 12.7
- CSU -0.8average 37.3
- SPD -0.3average 16.3
- Linke -0.2average 3.7
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU71
- SPD31
- Grüne23
- AfD23
- Freie Wähler18
- FDP14
- CSU + SPD102 of 180
- CSU + Grüne94 of 180
- CSU + AfD94 of 180
- CSU + Freie Wähler + FDP103 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.