Civey poll of 16 November 2017 for the Bavarian state election
- Commissioned by
- Augsburger Allgemeine
- Fieldwork period
- 16 Oct 2017 to 16 Nov 2017
- Respondents
- 5,034
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CSU38.8%-1.9
- SPD14.9%+0.8
- AfD13.5%+2.2
- Grüne10.8%-1.6
- FDP8.0%+0.9
- Freie Wähler6.5%-0.5
- Linke3.6%+0.2
- Others3.9%-0.1
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 13 Oct 2017.
In this poll Civey has CSU ahead on 38.8%, followed by SPD on 14.9%. 5,034 people were surveyed from 16 Oct 2017 to 16 Nov 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Augsburger Allgemeine.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 13 Oct 2017, AfD gains 2.2 points, CSU loses 1.9 points, Grüne loses 1.6 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Nov 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.4average 16.3
- AfD +1.2average 12.3
- Freie Wähler -0.5average 7.0
- CSU +0.1average 38.7
- Grüne +0.1average 10.7
- Linke -0.1average 3.7
- FDP ±0average 8.0
Seat projection from this poll
180 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CSU75
- SPD29
- AfD26
- Grüne21
- FDP16
- Freie Wähler13
- CSU + SPD104 of 180
- CSU + AfD101 of 180
- CSU + Grüne96 of 180
- CSU + FDP91 of 180
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.