Party · Bavaria
SPD in Bavaria: current polling
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands in the Sunday question for the state election in Bavaria: average of the 1 pollsters whose latest poll is at most 120 days old, comparison with the last election result, trend and house effects.
Bavaria, polling average
6.0%
As of 12 Sep 2026, 1 pollsters
Versus election result 8 Oct 2023
-2.4
Election result 8.4%
Versus a year ago
-1.0
Average on 17 Sep 2024: 7.0%
Rank in the state
5
5 of 8 parties
Polling trend
SPD in the Bavaria Sunday question over time
SPD in the Bavaria Sunday question over time
Rolling 120-day average, shares in percent
Averaged across all pollsters, SPD stands at 6.0% in Bavaria (as of 12 Sep 2026), rank 5 among the parties.
Wahlergebnisse.io© 2026Source: dawum.de (ODbL), average calculated by us · As of: 12 Sep 2026
By pollster
SPD in Bavaria: value per pollster
Latest poll from each pollster within the averaging window, with the pollster's house effect for this party (mean deviation from the other pollsters' average in points).
| Pollster | Date | Value | House effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Civey | 12 Sep 2026 | 6.0% | -0.2 |
States
SPD in all states
Polling average per state parliament, sorted by value; each row leads to the party's state page.
| State | Average | vs. election | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania | 32.6% | – | 2 |
| Hamburg | 30.5% | -3.0 | 1 |
| Saarland | 27.0% | -16.5 | 1 |
| Lower Saxony | 26.0% | -7.4 | 1 |
| Brandenburg | 23.0% | -7.9 | 2 |
| Bremen | 21.0% | -8.8 | 2 |
| Rhineland-Palatinate | 19.0% | -6.9 | 3 |
| Hesse | 15.5% | +0.4 | 3 |
| North Rhine-Westphalia | 15.5% | -11.2 | 4 |
| Schleswig-Holstein | 13.5% | -2.5 | 4 |
| Berlin | 12.0% | – | 5 |
| Saxony-Anhalt | 7.9% | – | 4 |
| Baden-Württemberg | 7.3% | +1.8 | 4 |
| Saxony | 6.0% | -1.3 | 5 |
| Thuringia | 6.0% | -0.1 | 5 |
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More
SPD nationally and in all statesBavaria state election: all polls, seats and coalitionsSunday question Bavaria
- How is SPD polling in Bavaria right now?
- Averaged across all pollsters, SPD stands at 6.0% in Bavaria (as of 12 Sep 2026), rank 5 among the parties.
- How did SPD do in the last Bavaria state election?
- In the election on 8 October 2023, SPD won 8.4%. Against that result it is polling -2.4 today.
- When is the next state election in Bavaria?
- The next state election in Bavaria is expected autumn 2028.