Single poll

Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 15 June 2022 for the Saxony-Anhalt state election

Commissioned by
Institut Wahlkreisprognose
Fieldwork period
7 to 15 Jun 2022
Respondents
1,000
Method
Online
  • CDU33.0%±0
  • AfD23.0%+3.0
  • SPD15.0%-4.0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • Grüne6.0%+1.0
  • FDP5.0%-1.5
  • Others9.0%+1.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 Feb 2022.

In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU ahead on 33.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,000 people were surveyed from 7 to 15 Jun 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.

Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 22 Feb 2022, SPD loses 4.0 points, AfD gains 3.0 points, FDP loses 1.5 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has AfD 3.0 points higher and Linke 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Jun 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +3.0average 20.0
  • Linke -2.0average 11.0
  • SPD -1.0average 16.0
  • CDU ±0average 33.0
  • Grüne ±0average 6.0
  • FDP ±0average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

83 seats by Hare/Niemeyer, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 30 seatsAfD: 21 seatsSPD: 14 seatsLinke: 8 seatsFDP: 5 seatsGrüne: 5 seatsMajority from 4283of 83 seats
  • CDU30
  • AfD21
  • SPD14
  • Linke8
  • FDP5
  • Grüne5
  • CDU + AfD51 of 83
  • CDU + SPD44 of 83
  • CDU + Linke + FDP43 of 83
  • CDU + Linke + Grüne43 of 83
  • AfD + SPD + Linke43 of 83
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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