Single poll

Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 8 February 2022 for the Saarland state election

Commissioned by
Institut Wahlkreisprognose
Fieldwork period
1 to 7 Feb 2022
Respondents
1,504
Method
Online
  • SPD34.0%-4.0
  • CDU33.0%-0.5
  • AfD7.0%±0
  • FDP6.5%+0.5
  • Grüne6.5%+0.5
  • Linke5.0%+1.0
  • Freie Wähler4.0%+1.0
  • Others4.0%+1.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 24 Dec 2021.

In this poll Institut Wahlkreisprognose has SPD ahead on 34.0%, followed by CDU on 33.0%. 1,504 people were surveyed from 1 to 7 Feb 2022, method Online, commissioned by Institut Wahlkreisprognose.

Compared with the previous Institut Wahlkreisprognose poll of 24 Dec 2021, SPD loses 4.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, Freie Wähler gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Institut Wahlkreisprognose has CDU 4.0 points higher and Grüne 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 180-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Feb 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +4.0average 29.0
  • Grüne -1.5average 8.0
  • Linke -1.5average 6.5
  • AfD -1.0average 8.0
  • FDP -0.5average 7.0
  • SPD ±0average 34.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

51 seats by d'Hondt, electoral threshold 5%.

SPD: 20 seatsCDU: 19 seatsAfD: 4 seatsFDP: 3 seatsGrüne: 3 seatsLinke: 2 seatsMajority from 2651of 51 seats
  • SPD20
  • CDU19
  • AfD4
  • FDP3
  • Grüne3
  • Linke2
  • SPD + CDU39 of 51
  • SPD + AfD + FDP27 of 51
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne27 of 51
  • SPD + AfD + Linke26 of 51
  • SPD + FDP + Grüne26 of 51
  • CDU + AfD + FDP26 of 51
  • CDU + AfD + Grüne26 of 51
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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