Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 22 February 2024 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election

Commissioned by
SWR Zur Sache Rheinland-Pfalz
Fieldwork period
15 to 20 Feb 2024
Respondents
1,157
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU31.0%±0
  • SPD22.0%±0
  • AfD15.0%-2.0
  • Grüne10.0%-2.0
  • Freie Wähler7.0%+2.0
  • FDP4.0%-1.0
  • BSW4.0%
  • Others7.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 Nov 2023.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,157 people were surveyed from 15 to 20 Feb 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by SWR Zur Sache Rheinland-Pfalz.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 2 Nov 2023, AfD loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, Freie Wähler gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 5.0 points lower and CDU 4.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Feb 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -5.0average 20.0
  • CDU +4.0average 27.0
  • SPD -4.0average 26.0
  • Grüne +1.5average 8.5
  • Freie Wähler -0.5average 7.5
  • FDP +0.5average 3.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 37 seatsSPD: 26 seatsAfD: 18 seatsGrüne: 12 seatsFreie Wähler: 8 seatsMajority from 51101of 101 seats
  • CDU37
  • SPD26
  • AfD18
  • Grüne12
  • Freie Wähler8
  • CDU + SPD63 of 101
  • CDU + AfD55 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + Freie Wähler57 of 101
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne56 of 101
  • SPD + AfD + Freie Wähler52 of 101
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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