Infratest dimap poll of 2 November 2023 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election
- Commissioned by
- SWR Zur Sache Rheinland-Pfalz
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 30 Oct 2023
- Respondents
- 1,048
- Method
- Telefon & Online
- CDU31.0%±0
- SPD22.0%-3.0
- AfD17.0%+1.0
- Grüne12.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Freie Wähler5.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Jul 2023.
In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,048 people were surveyed from 25 to 30 Oct 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by SWR Zur Sache Rheinland-Pfalz.
Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 20 Jul 2023, SPD loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has SPD 6.5 points lower and CDU 5.0 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Nov 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -6.5average 28.5
- CDU +5.0average 26.0
- AfD +2.0average 15.0
- Grüne +1.0average 11.0
- Freie Wähler -0.8average 5.8
- FDP -0.5average 5.5
Seat projection from this poll
101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.
- CDU34
- SPD24
- AfD19
- Grüne13
- FDP6
- Freie Wähler5
- CDU + SPD58 of 101
- CDU + AfD53 of 101
- SPD + AfD + Grüne56 of 101
- CDU + Grüne + FDP53 of 101
- CDU + Grüne + Freie Wähler52 of 101
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.