Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 20 July 2023 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election

Commissioned by
SWR Zur Sache Rheinland-Pfalz
Fieldwork period
13 to 18 Jul 2023
Respondents
1,156
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU31.0%+2.0
  • SPD25.0%-3.0
  • AfD16.0%+4.0
  • Grüne11.0%-3.0
  • Freie Wähler6.0%+1.0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Others6.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 30 Mar 2023.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 25.0%. 1,156 people were surveyed from 13 to 18 Jul 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by SWR Zur Sache Rheinland-Pfalz.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 30 Mar 2023, AfD gains 4.0 points, SPD loses 3.0 points, Grüne loses 3.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 5.0 points higher and SPD 3.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Jul 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +5.0average 26.0
  • SPD -3.5average 28.5
  • AfD +1.0average 15.0
  • FDP -0.5average 5.5
  • Freie Wähler +0.2average 5.8
  • Grüne ±0average 11.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 34 seatsSPD: 27 seatsAfD: 17 seatsGrüne: 12 seatsFreie Wähler: 6 seatsFDP: 5 seatsMajority from 51101of 101 seats
  • CDU34
  • SPD27
  • AfD17
  • Grüne12
  • Freie Wähler6
  • FDP5
  • CDU + SPD61 of 101
  • CDU + AfD51 of 101
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne56 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + Freie Wähler52 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP51 of 101
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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