Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 30 March 2023 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election

Commissioned by
SWR Zur Sache Rheinland-Pfalz
Fieldwork period
27 to 28 Mar 2023
Respondents
1,180
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU29.0%±0
  • SPD28.0%±0
  • Grüne14.0%-1.0
  • AfD12.0%+1.0
  • FDP5.0%±0
  • Freie Wähler5.0%±0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 15 Dec 2022.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 28.0%. 1,180 people were surveyed from 27 to 28 Mar 2023, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by SWR Zur Sache Rheinland-Pfalz.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 15 Dec 2022, Grüne loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has CDU 2.5 points higher and AfD 2.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU +2.5average 26.5
  • AfD -2.5average 14.5
  • Grüne +2.0average 12.0
  • Freie Wähler -0.8average 5.8
  • SPD -0.5average 28.5
  • FDP ±0average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 32 seatsSPD: 31 seatsGrüne: 15 seatsAfD: 13 seatsFDP: 5 seatsFreie Wähler: 5 seatsMajority from 51101of 101 seats
  • CDU32
  • SPD31
  • Grüne15
  • AfD13
  • FDP5
  • Freie Wähler5
  • CDU + SPD63 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + AfD60 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD59 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP52 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + Freie Wähler52 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP51 of 101
  • SPD + Grüne + Freie Wähler51 of 101
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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