Single poll

Infratest dimap poll of 11 July 2024 for the Rhineland-Palatinate state election

Commissioned by
SWR Zur Sache Rheinland-Pfalz
Fieldwork period
4 to 9 Jul 2024
Respondents
1,165
Method
Telefon & Online
  • CDU31.0%±0
  • SPD21.0%-1.0
  • AfD12.0%-3.0
  • Grüne10.0%±0
  • Freie Wähler7.0%±0
  • FDP5.0%+1.0
  • BSW5.0%+1.0
  • Others9.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 22 Feb 2024.

In this poll Infratest dimap has CDU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,165 people were surveyed from 4 to 9 Jul 2024, method Telefon & Online, commissioned by SWR Zur Sache Rheinland-Pfalz.

Compared with the previous Infratest dimap poll of 22 Feb 2024, AfD loses 3.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Infratest dimap has AfD 8.0 points lower and SPD 5.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 120-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Jul 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -8.0average 20.0
  • SPD -5.0average 26.0
  • CDU +4.0average 27.0
  • Grüne +1.5average 8.5
  • FDP +1.5average 3.5
  • Freie Wähler -0.5average 7.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

101 seats by Sainte-Laguë, electoral threshold 5%.

CDU: 34 seatsSPD: 23 seatsAfD: 13 seatsGrüne: 11 seatsFreie Wähler: 8 seatsFDP: 6 seatsBSW: 6 seatsMajority from 51101of 101 seats
  • CDU34
  • SPD23
  • AfD13
  • Grüne11
  • Freie Wähler8
  • FDP6
  • BSW6
  • CDU + SPD57 of 101
  • CDU + AfD + Grüne58 of 101
  • CDU + AfD + Freie Wähler55 of 101
  • CDU + AfD + FDP53 of 101
  • CDU + AfD + BSW53 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + Freie Wähler53 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + FDP51 of 101
  • CDU + Grüne + BSW51 of 101
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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